Sunday, October 23, 2011

AZMEX POLICY 23-10-11

AZMEX POLICY 23 OCT 2011

El Chapo, drives politics for Obama and Calderon
PATRICIA DAVILA RICARDO RAVEL and
OCTOBER 22, 2011 · 8 Comments
FEATURED
http://www.proceso.com.mx/?p=285580

Joaquin El Chapo Guzman, leader of the Sinaloa cartel.
Photo: Benjamin Flores

Internal political pressures currently experienced by Presidents
Felipe Calderón and Barack Obama have led their governments to design
a strategy to capture El Chapo Guzman or negotiate with him a
capture. According to intelligence sources and a couple of reputable
experts interviewed by Proceso, the prompt arrest of the leader of
the Sinaloa cartel has become a media-political delicacy palatable
for the two leaders, whose countries will have elections next year.

A series of events, reports and analysis of intelligence experts
agree that the governments of both Mexico and the United States have
priority in their plans the arrest of Joaquin Guzman Loera, El Chapo
de Sinaloa cartel boss, as the presidents of both countries that
crave media-political delicacy that would have electoral dividends in
2012.

The capture of drug lord, one of the most powerful in the world,
became a subject of "election emergency" for Presidents Felipe
Calderón and Barack Obama, who is seeking re-election, while Calderon
wants to keep his party in power says researcher at the Autonomous
Technological Institute of Mexico (ITAM) and UN consultant Edgardo
Buscaglia.

Both presidents, according to Buscaglia, tainted with strong
suspicion of providing protection to the Chapo Guzman and the
"operational arms of Sinaloa."

- Why are there so many political pressures on the two presidents on
the figure of this drug dealer? -Asked the professor also at Stanford
University.

-Obama faces pressure from Republicans. While the problem in America
is economic, the figure of El Chapo disturbed Obama because his
government is strongly suspected of supporting him. It weighs much in
the case of Fast and Furious and the weapons came into the hands of
Guzman Loera, also brings much questioning in the United States that
Mexican drug lords are not disturbed. (Excerpt from main report is
published this week in the 1825 edition of the magazine Proceso,
already circulción)

Arresting the 'Chapo' political urgency for Mexico and the United States
Agencies | October 23, 2011 | 6:44 pm
http://eldiariodechihuahua.mx/notas.php?
f=2011/10/23&id=9407c6c2a1278fadee5027e637a542af

Mexico City .- A series of events, reports and analysis of
intelligence experts agree that the governments of both Mexico and
the United States has among its priority plans apprehension of
Joaquin Guzman Loera, 'El Chapo', head of the Sinaloa cartel because
the presidents of both countries crave this dish would have media-
political electoral dividends in 2012.
The capture of drug lord, one of the most powerful in the world,
became a subject of "election emergency" for Presidents Felipe
Calderón and Barack Obama, who is seeking re-election, while Calderon
wants to keep his party in power says researcher at the Autonomous
Technological Institute of Mexico (ITAM) and UN consultant Edgardo
Buscaglia.
Both presidents, according to Buscaglia, are tainted with strong
suspicion of providing protection to the "Chapo" Guzman and the
"operational arms of the Sinaloa Cartel."
"This scenario makes it possible that Obama is engaged in the capture
of Guzman Loera by any means: either by direct capture or through a
negotiated surrender, which is not ruled out. U.S. always plays two
cards and did so with the head of al-Qaida, Osama Bin Laden, so that
Obama's re-election gets a lot of pressure and almost forces you to
take action against Sinaloa, as international pressure and is strong
and will be worse as the months go by and presidential elections
approach in Mexico and the United States. "
According to the study of the phenomenon of organized crime, when
they get political times as sensitive as those faced by Obama and
Calderon, "El Chapo" goes from a matter of national security and
becomes a campaign issue. "For Obama 'El Chapo' is another Osama Bin
Laden not in the sense of psychological disturbance but by the need
to ensure re-election and to exhibit self-cleaning in his government,
which has been questioned the Republicans."
And this emergency, he explains, it is possible that the U.S.
government seek Guzman negotiating his surrender and not touch his
assets and protect his life and your family.

Variants with the same objective
Proficient in most of Latin America and a presence in 48 countries,
the Sinaloa cartel is the most buoyant criminal organization on the
continent and its consolidation was achieved in 10 years, the same
time that the PAN came into power. According to Buscaglia, currently
the U.S. government considers "El Chapo" Guzman a dangerous offender
for the world as it was Osama Bin Laden and that explains why
Washington offered $ 5 million on his head.
Based on the information Buscaglia says she and other U.S. sources
consulted, the researcher insists that the U.S. government started
off its strategy to locate "El Chapo" Guzman, purpose for which, he
says, already employed dozens of agents working for the CIA, the
Pentagon and the DEA.
The team would be working with a plan that, according to the
consultant of the UN, is typical of American justice: not hit the
financial structure of the Sinaloa cartel, offer to "El Chapo"
guarantees to safeguard their capital. Buscaglia says it is striking
that the Calderon government fights the criminal groups that hinder
the Sinaloa cartel in its expansion plans.
The alleged plan of Washington agrees with the report issued earlier
this year, the U.S. consultancy Stratfor, this ensures that the
governments of Mexico and the United States pursue the consolidation
of the Sinaloa cartel in Mexico. Buscaglia added: "The Sinaloa cartel
is more than" El Chapo " more than" El Mayo "" Zambada and that "El
Azul" Esparragoza. Guzman Loera's fall means nothing to the criminal
group, but it would be much for the government of Felipe Calderon
ahead of the 2012 presidential election. The president is desperate
because the country was torn between deaths and shootings.

"Supporting the strategy of Obama, Calderon looking for some
political oxygen for his party in 2012 and it is clear that no other
strategy in the short term rather than follow the path of Vladimir
Putin, who as Russian president sat down to negotiate with the
criminals and fathered a mafia state. "

- What benefits Mexico follow the strategy of Russia?
To consolidate to a single cartel, in this case of Sinaloa, according
to Calderon's advisers, is to lower the levels of violence. Surely
they do, but it would be bread today and hunger tomorrow also because
Mexico would be consolidated as a mafia state where the interests of
a single cartel are kept safe. Meanwhile, the fact that Americans
operate with government support and are infiltrated Mexican
intelligence sites, businesses and groups of elite Army and Federal
Police, while others are scattered in Sinaloa, Chihuahua, Nuevo Leon,
Chiapas, Sonora and Mexico City, where it moves the leader of the
Sinaloa cartel.
The political factor

In turn, in an interview with reporter Patricia Davila, member of the
Centre for Research on North America UNAM Raul Benitez agrees that an
in interests of the election the eventual capture of "El Chapo" Guzman.
- Was privileged "El Chapo"?
-That being said, I am not aware ... What if he is captured in
January or February, according to a political timetable! He says he
is evicted, and is giving many of his powers to "El Mayo" Zambada:
"El Chapo" knows he is surrounded by the intelligence services of
U.S. drones that are flying around the mountains of Durango,
Chihuahua and Sinaloa, knows he can not leave the Golden Triangle.
The latest information was leaked to the press was six months ago
when he was in Veracruz two days.
Explains the implications of a possible arrest of Sinaloa drug boss:
"There is even talk that according to a political-electoral calendar
could capture or kill him in January or February 2012. It seems that
if there is a media coup of this nature could change the image of the
war against the cartels and the government will appear to winning it. "

"In this way benefit any official candidate in the contest of 2012.
Keep the President does not gravitate to 100% capture, but it is a
factor to win. Capture "El Chapo" is not a joke, it's very difficult,
is said to have a fortified defense system aircraft missiles, that if
you surround him with the military helicopters and they goes down and
the Air Force does not dare to that. "

- What would need to capture him if the Air Force does not dare?
-Would have to implement a strategy of combined forces or
something ... I heard four or five plans. As he is tucked into the
mountains, to a U.S. command can come in and out, but without being
seen Mexicans.
"If the ground work has to be the army that enters, but the transfer
of" El Chapo "from one village to another must be a joint operation
of forces of sea, land and air. It is also said that there are six
blocks search for "Shorty" as he had with Pablo Escobar in Colombia:
one is headed by the Navy, two Army and two Federal Police. This is
what is says.
"In a note published in January 2010 by The Economist states that the
Sinaloa cartel chief takes refuge in a mountain area about 60,00
square kilometers ( 24,000 sq. miles ) and to capture him would take
about 100,000 soldiers."

Facts and confirmatory evidence
Process with several sources confirmed that a key to the Mexican-
American objective in relation to "El Chapo" is Anthony Wayne,
Ambassador to Mexico and given to the negotiations, a feature that
showed the hardest conflicts tried passing through Afghanistan .
Moreover, the supposed protection from the U.S. to the Sinaloa cartel
and its main operators is not new signals. Just in May this year,
Vicente Zambada Niebla, "E" The Vicentillo "" son of Ismael "El Mayo"
Zambada-Guzman Loera's main ally in the country, revealed that in
1998 initiated a plan to negotiate with the DEA to provide protection
to the Sinaloa cartel in return to provide information on Mexican
criminal organizations.
Zambada Niebla was arrested in Mexico City and rooted for money
laundering and drug trafficking. He was then extradited to the U.S.
government's request. In May this year, in a statement before a
federal court in Illinois, said the DEA has sealed a "pact of
immunity" in the Sinaloa cartel.
In his testimony "E" The Vicentillo "" exposed the link between the
DEA and Immigration and Customs Enforcement United States was the
drug dealer Humberto Loya, who said Zambada Niebla was an advisor and
confidant "El Mayo" and "El Chapo".
"Zambada Niebla was part of the arrangement between the United States
government through its officers from the DEA, and the Sinaloa cartel
through Loya. The defendant provided information that Loya
transmitted to the government (United States) ", sits in one of the
documents filed in federal court to defend Zambada Niebla.
A "The Vicentillo" is accused in U.S. of conspiracy and drug
trafficking. Working for the Sinaloa cartel, an organization of which
his father is a partner. The PGR found that group operating at the
airport in Mexico City with the protection of federal agents,
officials and agents of SIEDO and Interpol.
Based on the so-called "immunity agreement" Zambada Niebla says in
another of his testimony that the U.S. government can not and should
judge to release him because it covers such a pact "with the valuable
information," he offered.
While the DEA began to protect the Sinaloa cartel from 2004-as
Zambada Niebla, in Mexico began to beat the rivals of the Sinaloa
organization.
Vicente Fox launched the fight against drug trafficking with the
"Safe Mexico," which dealt heavy blows at the Tijuana cartel and the
Gulf, but 50 days after the man from Guanajuato took over the
Presidency, "El Chapo" Guzman escaped the prison in Puente Grande,
Jalisco. And during the six years of Fox, the Sinaloa cartel spread
its tentacles throughout much of the country.
When starting the presidency of Calderon, "El Chapo" Guzman extended
its network to Central and South America, and there are examples of
impunity that has the Sinaloa drug lord and his family: In May this
year, during raids in a residential area of ​​Culiacan , Sinaloa,
many of them designated as shelters for "Shorty" - was arrested
Griselda Lopez Perez, former wife of Guzman Loera and who gave her
name Karla Perez Rojo. But hours later she was released.

Since 2009 Guzman Loera began to be seen as the great leader of the
Sinaloa cartel ready to dominate drug trafficking in Latin America.
That year, Bruce Bagley, chairman of International Studies at the
University of Miami, spoke well of him, "El Chapo" is clearly a
psychopath willing to engage in high levels of violence, but it is
also very adept at managing these turbulent waters. "
Earlier this year, the U.S. consultancy Stratfor Global Intelligence
put "El Chapo" Guzman as "the lord and master" of drug trafficking in
Latin America, and a study on the growth of the Sinaloa Cartel
Sinaloa drug lord stated that strengthen his organization criminal in
2011.

"In the course of 2011 we are seeing signs that 'The Sinaloa
Federation' and his new friends could become the dominant institution
of organized crime in Mexico," says Stratfor. "'New Federation',
headed by the Sinaloa cartel, is a partnership between criminal
groups whose common enemy to Los Zetas, but each of its members
continue to operate their routes."
Stratfor also established thatthe Juarez cartel led by Vicente
Carrillo Fuentes, was "accusing the organization of Joaquin Guzman
Loera of receiving favors from government."
He adds: "'The Sinaloa Federation' has extended and increased its
influence in Tijuana to some parts of Rio Grande in Texas, and has
greater resources at their disposal, making it more capable in the
cartel of criminal organizations Mexico and the most suitable to lead
an alliance that can consolidate power in volatile regions and make
them stable. "
It's not all: In March this year, a cable released by WikiLeaks
revealed that in 2009 the U.S. consulate in Ciudad Juarez sent
Washington a detailed report on drug-related violence, according to
which there is the view that the Mexican Army "is comfortable "with
letting the Sinaloa cartel and Juarez to weaken each other.
The cable was sent on January 23, 2009 by then-consul Raymond McGrath
and is listed as "sensitive."
The interview with the Times'

The theme of "Shorty" and the need to capture him were approached by
Felipe Calderon in an interview summary version of which was
published by The New York Times on Sunday October 16, the full
transcript in Spanish released a day later in your site the Internet.

Calderon said the head of the Sinaloa cartel lives on U.S. soil. When
asked how Guzman's wife (Emma Coronel, whom she bore twins August 15
Antelope Valley Hospital in Lancaster, California) was able to travel
to the United States without being persecuted and return to Mexico,
Calderon said:

"That would have to ask the U.S. Customs authorities. Because customs
post they have to cross to go to Los Angeles is the United States,
not Mexico. And if "El Chapo" was in Los Angeles I would ask the
Americans, why do not they grab him. (...) If the lady had given
birth at Hospital Angeles ... because anything else would. "

In the interview, Calderon said categorically that "El Chapo" Guzman
is not in Mexico. He added: "Here it is amazing that he or his wife
are so quiet in the U.S., which leads me to wonder how many families
or how Mexican drug lords will be quieter on the north side of the
border on the south side? What makes "El Chapo" Guzman to have his
family in America? ".

Then acknowledged that "El Chapo" Guzman as Heriberto Lazcano, head
of "Los Zetas", among others, "are people who are well protected and
people who have very complex network of protection. In the case of
"El Chapo" we suspect has a catchment area which is the Sierra Madre
Occidental in the states of Chihuahua, Durango and Sinaloa that
allows great mobility and any operation we do to capture him, he can
to detect tens of kilometers away, hours away. "
- You want it dead or alive? Asked The New York Times, Calderon said:
"I would not wish death to anyone ...."

Note: Those familiar with the area will enjoy the following

Posted October 23, 2011, 1:10 a.m.
Looking in Coahuila and Durango to the 'Chapo'

Could be hidden somewhere in the Sierra de Torreón
AGENCIES
Torreon, Coahuila - New Day
http://www.nuevodia.com.mx/nacional/buscan-en-coahuila-y-durango-al-
'chapo' /

About 200 military and a yet unspecified number of federal police
yesterday began searching for Joaquin "El Chapo" Guzman, who could be
hiding somewhere in the mountains between Coahuila and Durango.
This is part of Operation Safe Laguna, which officially began
yesterday and is also aimed at ending the violence, extortion,
murder, robberies and kidnappings, as well as doing the purification
of police forces in the region.
A week ago the Attorney General's Office, Marisela Morales, said that
"El Chapo" Guzman would be recaptured soon. "These are jobs that once
intelligence will bear much fruit," said the official, reinforcing
the theory that the man most wanted by the Government of Mexico may
have already been located.
Marco Antonio Gonzalez Barreda Yesterday, commander of Military
Region XI, reported that the safety device included in initial form
the main cities of the Laguna region of Coahuila and Durango, in the
municipalities of Torreon, Coahuila, Gomez Palacio and Lerdo, Durango.
Without going into details, the military said the deployment of
security forces will be on the main roads and settlements, mainly in
29 areas that are considered highly conflicted.
Police sources said the number of soldiers who arrived from the
region on Friday was around 200 for a first stage, and an unspecified
number of heavily armed federal police.
The work of these forces will be to conduct intelligence activities,
and monitoring to bring down the bass and high levels of violence
that has plagued society Laguna in recent months.
Gonzalez Barreda urged the military to deploy forces during that
stand out for their behavior and called them from falling into the
bribery of organized crime.
"It is well known to us the intent of the crime to attract to their
nefarious and illegal purposes by all kinds of gifts ... only the
duty and commitment to ourselves, our families and, above all, our
army will always be the shield to reject such vile and miserable
offerings. Let us always be loyal and professional soldiers, "said
the commander.

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