AZMEX ELECTION UPDATE 30 MAY 2018
Note: It was the PRI who ran Mexico since 1929, not the PAN.
Comment: if he is elected it will be a Cuba / Venezuela style disaster.
The USA will have millions more trying to get in.
Gracias
Poll: Mexico's left-leaning presidential candidate Lopez Obrador widens lead
Alfredo Corchado, Border-Mexico correspondent
https://www.dallasnews.com/news/mexico-election-2018/2018/05/30/poll-mexicos-left-leaning-presidential-candidate-lopez-obrador-widens-lead
MEXICO CITY -- Mexican left-leaning presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has consolidated his lead over his nearest rival, surpassing the 50 percent mark for the first time with a month to go before July 1 presidential election, according to a poll by Reforma newspaper.
The May 24-27 voter survey, co-sponsored by The Dallas Morning News and the University of North Texas-Dallas, showed Lopez Obrador, widely known as AMLO, winning 52 percent of the vote, the widest margin in any poll during the frenetic campaign.
His nearest rival Ricardo Anaya, from the right-left coalition, came in at 26 percent, unchanged from Reforma's last poll in mid-April.
Running third was Jose Antonio Meade, candidate of the ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI). His support remained steady at 19 percent, according to the poll, which comes following the second of three presidential debates, and after the withdrawal of independent candidate Margarita Zavala.
"Unless there is something really heroic, tragic or absolutely imponderable ...., this race is indeed as over as it can be," said Carlos Bravo Regidor, a political analyst and associate professor at CIDE, a public research center in Mexico City. "In general, AMLO's advantage is too big and seems too consolidated. The other candidates have not been able to connect with a majority."
The national poll surveyed 1,200 voters and had a margin of error of 3.8 percentage points.
Interviewed before the poll, voters throughout Mexico expressed a sense of resignation that Lopez Obrador, the 64-year-old former mayor of Mexico City, would become the country's next president. "I don't have a rooster in this fight because AMLO has his own issues," said Alvaro Enrique, 56, a driver. "But he's the only one who might actually do something for the people."
Enrique said he would never vote for PRI but also thinks the National Action Party has already had its chance.
The National Action Party governed Mexico for much of the nation's modern history, beginning in 1929, and was the opposition party that toppled PRI in 2000 and remained at the helm until 2012.
END
AMLO grows lead to 2 to 1: Reforma
By: Drafting / GH | 05/30/2018 7:27
http://www.frontera.info/EdicionEnLinea/Notas/Nacional/30052018/1345381-Crece-AMLO-y-lidera-2-a-1-Reforma.html
Andrés Manuel López Obrador leads the electoral preferences when placed with 52%, followed by Ricardo Anaya with 26%, José Antonio Meade with 19% and Jaime Rodríguez "El Bronco" with 3%, according to the Reforma survey.
"AMLO grows and leads 2 to 1" is the information disseminated this morning by the newspaper Reforma, which shows the results of the question "If today was the election for President, by whom would you vote?", With the effective percentages without considering 17 % no response On April 18 and May 2, Margarita Zavala, who retired from the race.
The candidate of "Juntos Haremos Historia" (Morena, PT and PES), Andrés Manuel López Obrador, grew in the intention to vote by going from 48%, in the survey published on May 2, to 52% in the study given this morning for Reforma. In that same study on April 18 he had 48%.
Ricardo Anaya, of the coalition "Por México al Frente" (PAN, PRD and MC), had a fall of 4 percentage points because of the 30% that he had on May 2 in this electoral survey is placed in 26%, as well as the result that it had in the survey of April 18 that was 26%.
José Antonio Meade, of the coalition "Todos por México" (PRI, PVEM and Panal), increased 2 percentage points by having 19% of the electoral preferences in the last survey since in the previous one he had 17%, while in the survey of April 18 had registered 18%.
The independent candidate Jaime Rodríguez "El Bronco" got 3% in this last survey, in April he had 3% and on May 2, 2%.
End
Comment: it's the Chicago Way .
Mexican electoral campaign flush with illegal funding
Christopher Sherman, Associated Press
Updated 11:18 am, Tuesday, May 29, 2018
https://www.lmtonline.com/news/crime/article/Mexican-presidential-candidate-fined-for-campaign-12950543.php?utm_campaign=hpborder
FILE - In this April 11, 2018 file photo, independent presidential candidate Jaime Rodriguez known as "El Bronco" speaks with the press at the airport in Mexico City. Mexico's electoral institute announced Monday, May 28, 2018, that it has fined Rodriguez more than $37,000 (739,000 pesos) for an assortment of alleged campaign violations. Photo: Marco Ugarte, AP / Copyright 2018 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.
Photo: Marco Ugarte, AP
IMAGE 1 OF 3 FILE - In this April 11, 2018 file photo, independent presidential candidate Jaime Rodriguez known as "El Bronco" speaks with the press at the airport in Mexico City. Mexico's electoral institute announced ... more
MEXICO CITY (AP) —
For every peso declared to Mexican electoral authorities by political parties and candidates, 15 more are moving under the table, according to a report Tuesday on the problem of illegal campaign finance.
The nonprofit Mexicans Against Corruption and Impunity published the report after months of investigation, concluding that Mexico's public campaign finance system has failed to keep illegal money from influencing elections.
The report says that the cash moving around electoral campaigns is such that Mexico's central bank has documented inexplicable increases in the amount of cash circulating in the economy in the five months before elections.
The money comes from both public and private sources. Money is siphoned from public programs and local governments to fund campaigns and is funneled to candidates by businesses interested in winning public contracts and having access to elected officials.
"The illegal campaign financing is the principle problem of electoral democracy," said Maria Amparo Casar, the organization's executive president and one of the study's authors, in an interview prior to the report's release. "What it does is when one arrives to power, what you're doing is buying benefits."
On Monday, Mexico's electoral institute fined independent presidential candidate Jaime Rodriguez more than $37,000 (739,000 pesos) for an assortment of alleged campaign violations, including having hundreds of state government employees working to gather the signatures necessary for him to appear on the ballot.
In response, Rodriguez tweeted that the regulatory agency targets only independent candidate because it is controlled by the major parties.
The National Electoral Institute announced the fines due to what it said was $650,000 (12,800,329 pesos) of "irregular financing" for the candidate known as "El Bronco." It said it would also forward the case to the Attorney General's Office and Mexico's tax agency for further investigation.
The institute also accused Rodriguez of making banned contributions from businesses appear to come from individual supporters.
"It's a triangulation to make citizens appear as legitimate supporters, when in reality the money came from businesses with which these citizens have no relationship whatsoever," electoral institute council member Ciro Murayama said in a statement.
Rodriguez, on leave as governor of Nuevo Leon state, is one of four candidates in the July 1 presidential election. His campaign has largely framed itself as a threat to the status quo of the dominant political parties.
The campaign finance report released Tuesday said the electoral institute needs to do more such investigations and impose heavier fines. As it is, parties and candidates can make a cost-benefit analysis and decide that it is worthwhile to violate regulations if it could give them an edge in the election, Casar said.
Mexico's public campaign finance system, which has been in place for more than 20 years, has succeeded in leveling the playing field and making elections more competitive, the report said. But more aggressive policing of campaign spending is necessary.
The report's authors recommend making voting obligatory in Mexico as a way to reduce spending on vote buying and election-day get-out-the vote efforts, which are legally restricted in Mexico.
They also concluded that the calculation used to set spending limits is not rooted in the reality of what it costs to run modern campaigns.
"The limits are like a promise of good behavior that no one follows and that stimulate even more violations of the law," the report said.
Asked if creating a legal and transparent path for private money to play a role in elections should be considered, Casar said public financing was still the best option. "The massive entry, like in the United States, of private money in a country like Mexico would deform the ideals of the foundations of fairness in elections in Mexico."
End
More: (Spanish)
http://www.jornada.unam.mx/ultimas/2018/05/29/mas-de-89-millones-de-mexicanos-podran-votar-el-1-de-julio-502.html
https://riodoce.mx/noticias/envia-ine-caso-de-financiamiento-ilegal-del-bronco-a-pgr-sat-y-fepade
https://www.proceso.com.mx/536347/el-10-de-junio-meade-estara-en-segundo-lugar-de-encuestas-juarez-cisneros
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