AZMEX ELECTION 17-5-18

AZMEX ELECTION 17 MAY 2018

Comment: Make history? Just like Venezuela? Courtesy of Chavez and Maduro el burro.
A epic disaster on the way? The USA would be flooded with refugees.
Zavala is out.
Gracias


AMLO surpasses with 20 points to the second place; it is driven by the northern part of the country.

http://www.elregionaldesonora.com.mx/noticia/73986

* López Obrador leads with 46% of the electoral preferences, followed by Anaya with 26%; Meade, 20%; Zavala, 5%, and El Bronco, 3%.
* In the north of the country has grown support for el tabasqueño, who now has 39%, compared to 17% he had in 2012.

The presidential candidate of the coalition 'Juntos haremos historia' ('Together we will make history') (Morena-PT-PES), Andrés Manuel López Obrador, has 39 percent of the intention to vote (polling) in the northern region of the country, 22 points higher than what he had six years ago, in June 2012, when the polls registered 17 percent support to the then candidate of the coalition PRD-PT-MC.

The favorable turnaround to AMLO in the northern states is the most marked that is observed in the whole country, while in the central-western region the morenista is 11 points above its level of 2012, while in the center and the South support is 15 and 18 points higher, respectively.

López Obrador support has grown throughout the country, but its most marked growth is in the north, a region in which it came a distant third six years ago, far from the 51 percent recorded by Enrique Peña Nieto in those states.

This is revealed by the most recent national survey of El Financiero, conducted during the last days of April and early May to 1,000 adults.
For the comparison with 2012, the survey coordinated by Alejandro Moreno in Reforma from June 14 to 17 of that year was considered.
Although López Obrador grew more in the north, its strongest regions are the center and the south, where he has 54 percent of the effective intention to vote. The center-west is its weakest zone, with 36 percent, standing in statistical tie with Ricardo Anaya, of the coalition 'Por México al Frente' (PAN-PRD-MC), who adds 35 percent of the preferences in that Bajío region.

In contrast, López Obrador leads the second place in the rest of the regions, Anaya in the north and south, and José Antonio Meade in the center.

According to the survey, López Obrador has 46 percent of the effective intention to vote throughout the country. Anaya appears in second place, with 26 percent and Meade in third with 20 percent. The independent candidacies of Margarita Zavala and Jaime Rodríguez attract 5 and 3 percent, respectively.

Comparing the intention of vote of Ricardo Anaya with what had the panista Josefina Vázquez Mota in June 2012, Anaya practically has the same level of support that the candidate had in the north, the center and the south of the country, but by almost 10 points in the central-western region.

With regard to the candidate of the PRI-PVEM-Panal coalition, the intention to vote in his favor is visibly lower in the four regions than Enrique Peña had six years ago, but the greatest difference is observed in the north of the country. country, which suggests that what AMLO has gained in that area has been lost, mainly by the PRI.

According to the study, the percentage of voters who already decided their vote definitely increased from 42 to 51 percent between March and May, while the undecided fell from 38 to 28 percent in that same period. On the other hand, the percentage of respondents who believe that López Obrador will win the presidential election rose from 37 to 44 percent.

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